Crash Odds: 150 yrs of CAPE, Buffett indicator, yield curve, credit spreads, margin debt, VIX & more → a walk-forward crash model.
No look-ahead, FDR-screened, refit yearly, scored strictly out-of-sample. Result: AUC 0.68, recall 42%. Real edge, no magic. Trying to make sure
Harness DeepSeek has become the coding agent that everyone is watching now 👀
Over 36k stars on GitHub on launch day • Flexible Harness allows agents to easily change models, tools, context, and workflows
MTP nearly doubled Qwen 3.8 27B on my 4090.
It also filled the card to the last 112 MB. Qwen 3.8 dropped today with a draft layer baked into the weights. The idea is simple: a small attached head guesses the next couple of tokens, the main model checks all the guesses in one
My first prompt deepseek v4 flash inside deepseek harness preview.
This is crazy
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